In 1996, inspectors destroyed one fermenter, a storage tank and
an inactivation tank at Darwah and poured concrete into the air
conditioners while other equipment, including filter pressers and
centrifuges were tagged for monitoring purposes.
The smallpox team found cobwebs covering much of the inside,
although a CIA National Intelligence Estimate said the Iraqis were
refurbishing the facility.
U.S. satellite images had spotted trucks pulling up in the past
year — an indication of renewed activity, the team was told. But
investigations on the ground revealed the trucks belonged to black
marketeers stealing scrap metal and other parts around the site.
In the run-up to the war, the CIA said chances were even that
smallpox was part of an Iraqi biological weapons program, according to
the National Intelligence Estimate.
Bush administration officials often cited smallpox when
describing Saddam’s intentions — and continue to do so despite the lack
of evidence.
On Sunday, Cheney said two trailers discovered in Iraq could have
been used to make smallpox. The vice president referred to the trailers
as “mobile biological facilities” — a characterization that has been
disputed by intelligence analysts within two U.S. government agencies
that believe the trailers were used to fill weather balloons.
Secretary of State Colin Powell, making the U.S. case for war
last February at the United Nations, said Saddam “has the wherewithal
to develop smallpox.”
Despite those suspicions, Pentagon planners didn’t organize a
specific search for smallpox when they put together a post-Saddam
weapons hunt comprising hundreds of military personnel with expertise
in missiles as well as chemical, biological and nuclear weapons.
“There was some discussion about creating specialized teams but
we didn’t have enough people,” said Lt. Col. Michael Slifka, who
planned the weapons hunt for the Defense Threat Reduction Agency.
The original search teams, which disbanded when a Pentagon-led
effort known as the Iraq Survey Group took over in August, comprised
military officers trained in detecting chemical, biological and nuclear
weapons. Those teams didn’t have an investigative capability and didn’t
include experts in specific areas such as smallpox.
Surprised by the configuration, a handful of American biologists
and virologists sent to Kuwait and then Baghdad with little instruction
except to help, set up Team Pox on their own.
The team — which included two specialists who worked previously
as U.N. inspectors in the 1990s — wrapped up their work midsummer
mostly out of frustration with the Iraq Survey Group.
Those involved described missed opportunities caused by bureaucratic obstacles hampering the search effort.
In several instances, the team couldn’t follow up tips because of
transportation problems. The violence plaguing Iraq means such teams
can operate only under military guidelines and travel only with
military escort. So their mobility is dictated by the military’s
schedule and availability to move from them from one location to
another.
Some Iraqi scientists interviewed clearly had the know-how and
expertise to produce smallpox, honed through years of work with similar
viruses.
But none of the Iraqi scientists — many questioned at their
offices at Iraqi universities — said they had done work on smallpox or
other viruses that could be used in biological weapons programs.
U.N. inspectors suspected Iraq could have been working on
smallpox or already had it. There was an outbreak of smallpox in the
country in 1972, and Iraq admitted it had been producing the vaccine
into the 1980s.
“From the onset the evidence was strictly circumstantial,” said
Jonathan Tucker, a former U.N. inspector and the author of a recent
book on smallpox. “There was a lot of smoke but not much fire there.”
Tests on Iraqi soldiers captured during the 1991 Gulf War found that some had been vaccinated for smallpox.
And Iraq admitted to U.N. inspectors in the 1990s that its
biological weapons scientists worked with camelpox, a close relative of
the smallpox virus. Working with camelpox would give Iraq a way to
perfect techniques for making smallpox without endangering the
researchers.
© 2003 Newsweek, Inc.